The DOE sizing rule
The US Department of Energy gives a simple rule for sizing outdoor pool heaters:
BTU/h = surface area (sq ft) × temperature rise (°F) × 12
The temperature rise is the gap between the water temperature you want and the average air temperature of the coolest month you plan to swim. The rule assumes about 3.5 mph of wind across the pool. DOE says to multiply by 1.25 for about 5 mph, and by 2.0 for about 10 mph.
| Pool area | 15 °F rise | 20 °F rise | 25 °F rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 300 sq ft | 54,000 | 72,000 | 90,000 |
| 450 sq ft | 81,000 | 108,000 | 135,000 |
| 600 sq ft | 108,000 | 144,000 | 180,000 |
BTU/h at sheltered (≈3.5 mph) conditions. The calculator also shows the next common heat pump size above your result.
Heat pump ratings vs. real weather
Heat pumps move heat from the air into the water, so their output depends on air temperature. DOE notes they work most efficiently above about 45–50 °F. Manufacturers usually publish output at warm test conditions (80 °F air) and often at 50 °F too. If you’ll swim in spring and fall, compare models on their cooler-air rating.
Heat-up time and cost
To heat the whole pool: BTU = gallons × 8.33 × degrees of rise. A 20,000-gallon pool warming 10 °F needs about 1.7 million BTU. Divide by heater output for the minimum hours. Divide by (COP × 3,412) for the kWh a heat pump uses. These are best-case figures: heat keeps escaping while you heat, especially with the cover off.
Assumptions and limitations
- Uses the US Department of Energy rule of thumb for outdoor pools. It is not a site-specific heat-loss calculation.
- Heat pump output drops in cooler air; headline ratings are measured in warm conditions.
- Heat-up time and cost ignore heat lost while heating, so they're a best case (cover on, calm weather).
Key terms
Common questions
What size heat pump do I need for a 15,000-gallon pool?
Heater size depends on surface area and climate, not gallons. A 15,000-gallon pool might be 400–500 sq ft. At 400 sq ft and a 20 °F rise (82 °F water, 62 °F air), DOE's rule gives 96,000 BTU/h in sheltered conditions.
Is a bigger heat pump better?
A larger unit heats faster and keeps up in cooler weather, and running costs per degree are similar. The trade-off is purchase price and electrical capacity. Undersizing is the more common regret.
Does a solar cover really help?
Yes. Most heat is lost from the water surface through evaporation. Covering the pool when it's not in use is one of the biggest savings available for heated pools.
Sources and methodology references
- Gas swimming pool heaters (sizing), US Department of Energy, Energy SaverBtu/h = pool area × temperature rise × 12; based on 1–1.25 °F/h and 3.5 mph wind; ×1.25 for 5 mph, ×2.0 for 10 mph.
- Heat pump swimming pool heaters, US Department of Energy, Energy SaverCOP typically 3.0–7.0; heat pumps work most efficiently with outdoor air above about 45–50 °F.
Published October 2, 2026. Results are estimates. See how our calculators work.
Spotted a wrong result or an outdated source? Report a problem with this calculator.
Related tools
- Pool surface area calculatorGet your pool's water surface area in square feet, the number heater sizing and cover sizes are based on.
- Pump energy cost calculatorSee what your pump costs to run each month and season, and what a variable-speed pump at lower speed could save.
- Pump run time calculatorWork out how many hours your pump needs each day to filter all your water, from your pool size and flow rate.
